OBJECTIVES

What is each objective
actually worth?

Compare what usually happens before and after Dragons, towers, inhibitors, Baron, grubs, kills, and gold leads.

See every objective
Mid inhibitor26.6%Mid T326.1%First Nexus turret18.3%Bot inhibitor17.6%Second Nexus turret17.1%Bot T316.3%Second dragon16.1%Top inhibitor14.9%First dragon13.3%Soul dragon13.0%
How to read these numbers
THE DEEPER EXPLANATION

Why this is not a raw win-rate list

What the number means
If you were 50% to win and the objective moves you to 60%, you closed 20% of the remaining loss (the 50 points you still had to lose). That 20% is the increase in win chance we rank.
Why not “+10 percentage points”?
+10 points from 50%→60% and from 85%→95% look identical as points, but the second one clears most of a tiny leftover loss while the first only chips a coin-flip. The relative increase keeps late, already-winning states from looking the same as early toss-ups.
How we get it
Compare modeled win% right before and after the event, then divide the jump by the loss chance you still had: (post − pre) ÷ (100% − pre). Mid inhibitor from 76% → 83% is a 27% increase in win chance on that scale.
FEATURED

What should we take after winning a teamfight?

Compare real follow-up choices by rank and adjusted final-win association.

See the full breakdown FEATURED

What happens after a Shelly play?

1,358 deployments reveal the value—and failure modes—of using the Eye.

See the full breakdown FEATURED

When is starting Dragon worth the risk?

Securing Dragon helps. Dying around it gives much of the edge back.

See the full breakdown FEATURED

What happens after first Baron?

See when the buff becomes structures—and how teams waste it.

See the full breakdown FEATURED

The base is open. What should the team take next?

Compare ending, another inhibitor, Baron, and backing away.

See the full breakdown

Structures

Sorted by modeled win-chance change in similar situations

Full atlas →

Mid inhibitor

26.6%modeled win-chance change76% → 83% win chance5,839 similar situations

Mid T3

26.1%modeled win-chance change75% → 81% win chance6,823 similar situations

First Nexus turret

18.3%modeled win-chance change79% → 83% win chance3,189 similar situations

Bot inhibitor

17.6%modeled win-chance change80% → 83% win chance2,631 similar situations

Second Nexus turret

17.1%modeled win-chance change81% → 84% win chance2,002 similar situations

Bot T3

16.3%modeled win-chance change78% → 82% win chance3,574 similar situations

Top inhibitor

14.9%modeled win-chance change79% → 82% win chance1,849 similar situations

Mid T2

11.5%modeled win-chance change67% → 71% win chance11,450 similar situations

Top T3

11.5%modeled win-chance change77% → 80% win chance2,714 similar situations

Bot T2

9.8%modeled win-chance change70% → 73% win chance9,432 similar situations

Top T2

6.8%modeled win-chance change68% → 70% win chance8,733 similar situations

Mid T1

4.4%modeled win-chance change55% → 57% win chance16,890 similar situations

Bot T1

3.8%modeled win-chance change53% → 55% win chance18,437 similar situations

Top T1

2.0%modeled win-chance change53% → 54% win chance18,508 similar situations

Neutral objectives

Sorted by modeled win-chance change in similar situations

Full atlas →

Second dragon

16.1%modeled win-chance change62% → 68% win chance12,320 similar situations

First dragon

13.3%modeled win-chance change50% → 57% win chance17,864 similar situations

Soul dragon

13.0%modeled win-chance change76% → 79% win chance2,178 similar situations

Atakhan

10.9%modeled win-chance change68% → 71% win chance286 similar situations

Third dragon

10.2%modeled win-chance change73% → 76% win chance6,524 similar situations

First Baron

10.0%modeled win-chance change65% → 69% win chance8,881 similar situations

Elder dragon

7.6%modeled win-chance change59% → 62% win chance358 similar situations

Second Baron

7.3%modeled win-chance change69% → 71% win chance1,525 similar situations

Herald

4.1%modeled win-chance change63% → 64% win chance9,301 similar situations

Third grub

3.0%modeled win-chance change54% → 56% win chance8,959 similar situations

Second grub

2.9%modeled win-chance change53% → 55% win chance11,315 similar situations

First grub

2.1%modeled win-chance change52% → 53% win chance13,656 similar situations

Third Baron

-0.1%modeled win-chance change67% → 67% win chance102 similar situations

Combat & economy

Sorted by modeled win-chance change in similar situations

Full atlas →

First sustained 5k gold lead

12.3%modeled win-chance change88% → 90% win chance7,101 similar situations

First sustained 3k gold lead

10.1%modeled win-chance change81% → 83% win chance10,042 similar situations

First to 3 kills

9.3%modeled win-chance change52% → 57% win chance11,357 similar situations

First to 5 kills

8.4%modeled win-chance change56% → 60% win chance11,356 similar situations

First sustained 2k gold lead

8.3%modeled win-chance change75% → 77% win chance10,934 similar situations

First blood

7.4%modeled win-chance change49% → 53% win chance10,310 similar situations

First to 10 kills

7.2%modeled win-chance change63% → 66% win chance11,331 similar situations

First sustained 1k gold lead

4.5%modeled win-chance change67% → 68% win chance11,317 similar situations

Lane states

Sorted by modeled win-chance change in similar situations

Full atlas →

Won mid at 14

2.3%modeled win-chance change60% → 61% win chance9,470 similar situations

Won bot at 14

2.3%modeled win-chance change63% → 64% win chance9,621 similar situations

Major bot advantage

1.9%modeled win-chance change63% → 64% win chance7,681 similar situations

Major top advantage

1.7%modeled win-chance change58% → 59% win chance7,424 similar situations

Major mid advantage

1.6%modeled win-chance change59% → 59% win chance7,926 similar situations

Won top at 14

1.2%modeled win-chance change60% → 60% win chance9,788 similar situations