mid · 26 games · exploratory

Thin sample
Early favored
ELR weak

EXPECTED TRADE VALUE

What changes after an ability connects?

Direct damage, the next three seconds, and the complete trade.

Attempts: 3,311
Matches: 3
Lane env.: 37

ABILITY-SPECIFIC ESTIMATES

Damage and trade results

FizzE

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

FizzQ

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

FizzR

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

FizzW

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

YoneE

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

YoneQ

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

YoneR

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

YoneW

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

How this was reconstructed

Average champion damage per reconstructed tradeYone 254Fizz 458

Packet casts seed attempts. Linked damage, crowd control, shields, and passive procs attach to the initiating action. Every example remains traceable to packet citations.

Two-sided packet example21:46

1Q227 dmg
2Q197 dmg
3DMG169 dmg
4AA313 dmg
5DMG95 dmg
6DMG18 dmg
7W287 dmg
8AA50 dmg
9AA285 dmg
10DMG26 dmg
11DMG158 dmg
12Eno dmg
13Qno dmg
14S47228 dmg
15DMG13 dmg
16DMG13 dmg

Yone dealt: 1118 dmg
Fizz dealt: 961 dmg

Two-sided packet example11:41

1Q134 dmg
2Q124 dmg
3DMG148 dmg
4Wno dmg
5AA59 dmg
6AA111 dmg
7W127 dmg
8Eno dmg
9DMG146 dmg
10E300 dmg
11Q203 dmg
12E62 dmg
13Qno dmg

Yone dealt: 500 dmg
Fizz dealt: 914 dmg

Two-sided packet example14:45

1DMG178 dmg
2AA101 dmg
3W109 dmg
4Q100 dmg
5Q186 dmg
6DMG14 dmg
7E203 dmg
8AA50 dmg
9W247 dmg
10DMG14 dmg
11DMG14 dmg
12DMG14 dmg
13DMG14 dmg
14DMG26 dmg

Yone dealt: 777 dmg
Fizz dealt: 493 dmg

Win rate42.3%

Final game win chance in this matchup: 11 wins and 15 losses across 26 ranked games.

W / T / L @1458% / 4% / 39%

Lane gold lead at 14:00 — ahead, within ±200g, or behind. Counts: 15W · 1T · 10L.

Matchup ELR-11.8%

Share of remaining loss risk removed versus this champion's role baseline (48.4% → 42.3%, -6.1 pp). Positive favors the pick; negative hurts it.

Matchup ELR uses the same loss-risk normalization as the objective atlas: (post − pre) / (1 − pre), with pre = Yone's role baseline and post = this matchup's win probability. It can disagree with raw win rate when the baseline is already high or low.

COMMENTS

Yone vs Fizz comments

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