Final game win chance in this matchup: 11 wins and 10 losses across 21 ranked games.
mid · 21 games · exploratory
- Thin sample
- Coin flip
- ELR strong
EXPECTED TRADE VALUE
What changes after an ability connects?
Direct damage, the next three seconds, and the complete trade.
- Attempts
- 0
- Matches
- 0
- Lane env.
- 0
0 packet attempts across 0 matches.0 ability comparisons.
Lane gold lead at 14:00 — ahead, within ±200g, or behind. Counts: 13W · 4T · 4L.
Share of remaining loss risk removed versus this champion's role baseline (45.4% → 52.4%, +7.0 pp). Positive favors the pick; negative hurts it.
Matchup ELR uses the same loss-risk normalization as the objective atlas: (post − pre) / (1 − pre), with pre = Mel's role baseline and post = this matchup's win probability. It can disagree with raw win rate when the baseline is already high or low.
Mel
Ahri
Mel vs Ahri comments
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