mid · 26 games · exploratory

Thin sample
Scales out
ELR strong

EXPECTED TRADE VALUE

What changes after an ability connects?

Direct damage, the next three seconds, and the complete trade.

Attempts: 3,311
Matches: 5
Lane env.: 39

ABILITY-SPECIFIC ESTIMATES

Damage and trade results

FizzE

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

FizzQ

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

FizzR

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

FizzW

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

YoneE

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

YoneQ

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

YoneR

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

YoneW

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect

Effect observed: — direct
Cast, no effect: 0 attempts
Trade-end context: —

How this was reconstructed

Average champion damage per reconstructed tradeFizz 469Yone 272

Packet casts seed attempts. Linked damage, crowd control, shields, and passive procs attach to the initiating action. Every example remains traceable to packet citations.

Two-sided packet example19:02

1R282 dmg
2AA242 dmg
3Q322 dmg
4E296 dmg
5S9no dmg
6R360 dmg
7Q322 dmg
8AA295 dmg
9W122 dmg
10Eno dmg
11Qno dmg
12Eno dmg
13DMG8 dmg

Fizz dealt: 368 dmg
Yone dealt: 1881 dmg

Two-sided packet example21:46

1Q227 dmg
2Q197 dmg
3DMG169 dmg
4AA313 dmg
5DMG95 dmg
6DMG18 dmg
7W287 dmg
8AA50 dmg
9AA285 dmg
10DMG26 dmg
11DMG158 dmg
12Eno dmg
13Qno dmg
14S47228 dmg
15DMG13 dmg
16DMG13 dmg

Fizz dealt: 961 dmg
Yone dealt: 1118 dmg

Two-sided packet example11:41

1Q134 dmg
2Q124 dmg
3DMG148 dmg
4Wno dmg
5AA59 dmg
6AA111 dmg
7W127 dmg
8Eno dmg
9DMG146 dmg
10E300 dmg
11Q203 dmg
12E62 dmg
13Qno dmg

Fizz dealt: 914 dmg
Yone dealt: 500 dmg

Win rate57.7%

Final game win chance in this matchup: 15 wins and 11 losses across 26 ranked games.

W / T / L @1439% / 4% / 58%

Lane gold lead at 14:00 — ahead, within ±200g, or behind. Counts: 10W · 1T · 15L.

Matchup ELR+15.0%

Share of remaining loss risk removed versus this champion's role baseline (50.2% → 57.7%, +7.5 pp). Positive favors the pick; negative hurts it.

Matchup ELR uses the same loss-risk normalization as the objective atlas: (post − pre) / (1 − pre), with pre = Fizz's role baseline and post = this matchup's win probability. It can disagree with raw win rate when the baseline is already high or low.

COMMENTS

Fizz vs Yone comments

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