All Bard matchups
Bard
VS
Thresh

support · 61 games · exploratory

EXPECTED TRADE VALUE

What changes after an ability connects?

Direct damage, the next three seconds, and the complete trade.

Attempts
1,186
Matches
1
Lane env.
1
ABILITY-SPECIFIC ESTIMATES

Damage and trade results

BardE

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
BardP

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
BardQ

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
BardR

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
BardW

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
ThreshE

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
ThreshQ

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
ThreshR

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
ThreshW

a packet-linked terminal effect was observed

Observed packet attempts · damage basis0 attempts0 effect observed · 0 no effect
Effect observed
— direct
max HP unavailable
Cast, no effect
0 attempts
0 connected · 0 matches
Trade-end context
—
0 matches
How this was reconstructed
Average champion damage per reconstructed tradeBard 28Thresh 117

Packet casts seed attempts. Linked damage, crowd control, shields, and passive procs attach to the initiating action. Every example remains traceable to packet citations.

Two-sided packet example5:18
  1. 1DMG39 dmg
  2. 2AA111 dmg
  3. 3Qno dmg
  4. 4S50no dmg
  5. 5DMG124 dmg
  6. 6Wno dmg
Bard dealt
39 dmg
Thresh dealt
235 dmg
Win rate63.9%

Final game win chance in this matchup: 39 wins and 22 losses across 61 ranked games.

W / T / L @1449% / 5% / 46%

Lane gold lead at 14:00 — ahead, within ±200g, or behind. Counts: 30W · 3T · 28L.

Matchup ELR+24.2%

Share of remaining loss risk removed versus this champion's role baseline (52.4% → 63.9%, +11.5 pp). Positive favors the pick; negative hurts it.

Matchup ELR uses the same loss-risk normalization as the objective atlas: (post − pre) / (1 − pre), with pre = Bard's role baseline and post = this matchup's win probability. It can disagree with raw win rate when the baseline is already high or low.

COMMENTS

Bard vs Thresh comments

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