Final game win chance in this matchup: 66 wins and 39 losses across 105 ranked games.
support · 105 games · stable
- Scales out
- ELR strong
EXPECTED TRADE VALUE
What changes after an ability connects?
Direct damage, the next three seconds, and the complete trade.
- Attempts
- 0
- Matches
- 0
- Lane env.
- 0
0 packet attempts across 0 matches.0 ability comparisons.
Lane gold lead at 14:00 — ahead, within ±200g, or behind. Counts: 43W · 13T · 49L.
Share of remaining loss risk removed versus this champion's role baseline (51.9% → 62.9%, +11.0 pp). Positive favors the pick; negative hurts it.
Matchup ELR uses the same loss-risk normalization as the objective atlas: (post − pre) / (1 − pre), with pre = Alistar's role baseline and post = this matchup's win probability. It can disagree with raw win rate when the baseline is already high or low.
Nautilus
Alistar vs Nautilus comments
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